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2026 World Cup · Standings & Qualification Analysis | Group Rankings · Advancement Probability · Scenarios

🏆 2026 World Cup · Standings & Qualification Analysis

Group Rankings · Qualification Scenarios · Advancement Probability

📊 Data based on FIFA official draw & schedule simulation 🎯 Advancement probability using ELO + Monte Carlo

📋 Group Standings · Points Table

48 Teams · 12 Groups (Top two advance to Round of 32)

📍 Group A

RankTeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsStatus
1Mexico00000000Not started
2South Africa00000000Not started
3South Korea00000000Not started
4Czech Republic00000000Not started

📍 Group B

RankTeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsStatus
1Canada00000000Not started
2Bosnia00000000Not started
3Switzerland00000000Not started
4Qatar00000000Not started

📍 Group C

RankTeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsStatus
1Brazil00000000Not started
2Morocco00000000Not started
3Scotland00000000Not started
4Haiti00000000Not started

📍 Group D

RankTeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsStatus
1USA00000000Not started
2Turkey00000000Not started
3Australia00000000Not started
4Paraguay00000000Not started

📍 Group E

RankTeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsStatus
1Germany00000000Not started
2Ecuador00000000Not started
3Ivory Coast00000000Not started
4Curaçao00000000Not started
📌 Other Key Groups (F-L):
• Group F: France, Netherlands, Ghana, Iraq
• Group G: Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan
• Group H: Portugal, Sweden, Algeria, New Zealand
• Group I: England, Croatia, Austria, Panama
• Group J: Argentina, Belgium, Senegal, Iran
• Group K: Colombia, Norway, Egypt, DR Congo
• Group L: Poland, Denmark, Tunisia, Australia

🔮 Qualification Scenarios · Key Group Breakdown

Top two advance directly to Round of 32
🔥 Group of Death: Group E (Germany/Ecuador/Ivory Coast/Curaçao)
Germany the favorite but African champion Ivory Coast dangerous on counter; Ecuador struggles away. Expect Germany top, second spot wide open.
⚡ Group A Battle (Mexico/South Africa/South Korea/Czechia)
Wide open! Mexico home edge, South Korea pace, Czech qualifying surprise. Goal difference could decide.
🌍 Group B (Canada/Bosnia/Switzerland/Qatar)
Switzerland's tournament experience vs Canada's youth movement (Davies+David). Bosnia with Džeko; Qatar Asian champions but weaker. Projected Switzerland & Canada advance.
📌 Traditional Powers:
Brazil (Group C), France (Group F), Argentina (Group J) expected to top their groups. England (Group I) battles Croatia for first place.

📈 Advancement Probability (Round of 32)

ELO rating + Monte Carlo (100k simulations)
🇧🇷 Brazil98.7%
🇦🇷 Argentina97.2%
🇫🇷 France96.5%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England94.1%
🇪🇸 Spain91.3%
🇩🇪 Germany89.2%
⚡ Dark Horse Advancement Chances:
🇨🇦 Canada 63% | 🇲🇦 Morocco 58% | 🇰🇷 South Korea 47% | 🇺🇸 USA 72% (home advantage)